Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 180.227057 208.504546 240.817047 280.699011 328.909525 385.695564 458.222220
2025-08-31 140.628925 175.803342 220.050086 280.638746 362.777592 472.229939 632.532376
2025-09-07 119.624731 157.621827 208.692256 283.988500 395.049307 557.651020 823.250068
2025-09-14 100.882357 138.079082 190.555146 272.322116 400.986921 603.885316 966.189894
2025-09-21 89.959637 127.301519 182.288305 272.343028 422.733863 677.075053 1172.268431
2025-09-28 81.922910 119.373353 176.653339 274.768134 447.812863 760.322731 1421.809933
2025-10-05 78.571090 117.948578 180.564956 292.949772 502.979062 910.278870 1856.864624
2025-10-12 75.027232 115.655616 182.557690 307.860468 554.970262 1067.727249 2373.763653
2025-10-19 69.263541 108.998207 176.244658 306.526406 574.850145 1163.525503 2783.989637
2025-10-26 65.867513 105.905931 175.637527 315.666610 617.846997 1322.555733 3439.880428
2025-11-02 62.198407 101.917314 172.872022 320.011155 651.303173 1468.907323 4139.375386
2025-11-09 58.615065 97.699557 169.148014 321.740500 679.127510 1609.640750 4905.910361
2025-11-16 54.302010 92.150989 163.047355 319.303467 701.237702 1756.161978 5854.023739
2025-11-23 50.658877 87.534989 158.331409 319.468873 731.158509 1941.520866 7140.964136
2025-11-30 47.814622 84.109738 155.519464 323.399371 772.136840 2180.096653 8922.090975
2025-12-07 43.670525 77.748320 145.914697 309.745320 761.531229 2245.370153 9932.689517
2025-12-14 41.170746 74.390197 142.214043 309.769785 790.368406 2464.199202 12087.223828
2025-12-21 39.145963 71.784895 139.807337 312.606502 828.672361 2739.844765 15041.122677
2025-12-28 38.663466 72.275915 144.235345 333.901164 931.896364 3341.468773 21585.318460
2026-01-04 37.880186 72.050756 147.012176 351.399424 1029.307293 3991.380665 30427.190896
2026-01-11 35.921133 69.126927 143.184161 349.832617 1059.718947 4344.655916 37465.899704
2026-01-18 34.853640 68.043603 143.591575 360.572237 1139.741439 5022.309386 51186.198748
2026-01-25 33.537520 66.290465 142.172908 365.680908 1200.437575 5648.603891 67547.974662